As the IPL league stage heads into its final stretch, the playoff picture is starting to take shape—but it’s not over yet. While some teams have bowed out, others are hanging by a thread. With 14 matches left and 16,384 possible result combinations, here's a breakdown of each team's playoff chances.

Already Out of the Race

• Chennai Super Kings
   
• Rajasthan Royals
   
• Sunrisers Hyderabad
   

These teams can no longer make it to the top four, no matter what happens.

Almost There

Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB)

• Best Case: Top the table with 22 points
   
• Worst Case: End up 6th if they lose all remaining games
   
• Playoff Chances: 98.2%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 76.0%
   

Gujarat Titans (GT)

• Best Case: Top the table with 22 points
   
• Worst Case: Drop to 6th with all losses
   
• Playoff Chances: 98.4%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 74.6%
   

Punjab Kings (PBKS)

• Best Case: Sole topper with 21 points
   
• Worst Case: End up 7th
   
• Playoff Chances: 89.9%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 44.5%
   

In the Mix

Mumbai Indians (MI)

• Best Case: Top with 18 points (needs RCB & GT to lose all and PBKS to lose two)
   
• Worst Case: Finish 7th
   
• Playoff Chances: 58.5%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 15.8%
   

Delhi Capitals (DC)

• Best Case: Sole topper with 19 points
   
• Worst Case: Finish 7th
   
• Playoff Chances: 57.2%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 14.8%
   

Slim Hopes

Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR)

• Best Case: Tie for top with 17 points
   
• Worst Case: Joint 8th
   
• Playoff Chances: 14.8%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 1.1%
   

Lucknow Super Giants (LSG)

• Best Case: Tie for 2nd with 16 points
   
• Worst Case: Finish 8th
   
• Playoff Chances: 7.9%
   
• Top 2 Chances: 0.1%
   

How These Numbers Were Calculated

With 14 games left, we evaluated all 16,384 possible outcome combinations. For each team, we checked:

• How many combinations place them in the top 4
   
• How many combinations get them in the top 2
   

Example:
RCB finished in the top 4 in 16,092 out of 16,384 combinations, giving them a 98.2% chance.

Summing Up

While RCB, GT, and PBKS are nearly through, MI and DC are on shaky ground. KKR and LSG need a miracle. But in cricket, especially the IPL, anything can happen.